Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 05/07, 10:00
Prediction: Aaddi Gupta vs Deniz Dilek
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Deniz Dilek; the market gives 91% to Deniz Dilek (odds 1.03).
Over their last 10 matches, Aaddi Gupta sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Deniz Dilek arrives on a 8-2 run.
80%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aaddi Gupta 1481 · Deniz Dilek 1606
| Aaddi Gupta | Deniz Dilek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deniz Dilek (rating 1481 vs 1606).
- Deniz Dilek is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Aaddi Gupta makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Deniz Dilek makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Aaddi Gupta | Deniz Dilek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.9-9.4 | 11.6-5.7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 53.4% | 77.2% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 63.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aaddi Gupta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06 | Noemi Maines W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Farhat Aleen Qamar W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Yleymi Lugiana Muelle Valdez W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Patricia Rodriguez Carretero W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/05 | Sarah Van Emst W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Patricia Rodriguez Carretero W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/01 | Martina Colmegna W35 Nairobi · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi W35 Nairobi · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/12 | Dusica Popovski W35 Nairobi · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Deniz Dilek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Minel Naz Kaynak W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Daria Lokotkova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/06 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Polina Skopintseva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/05 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aaddi Gupta vs Deniz Dilek?
Our model gives 80% to Deniz Dilek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.