Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 05/07, 11:30
Prediction: Miroslava Medvedeva vs Polina Isakova
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Polina Isakova; the market gives 66% to Polina Isakova (odds 1.40).
Recent form leaves Miroslava Medvedeva with 2 wins and 8 losses over 10 games; Polina Isakova has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miroslava Medvedeva 1421 · Polina Isakova 1494
| Miroslava Medvedeva | Polina Isakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polina Isakova (rating 1421 vs 1494).
- Polina Isakova is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Miroslava Medvedeva makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Miroslava Medvedeva | Polina Isakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-10.7 | 8.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 54.1% |
| Break % | 54% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miroslava Medvedeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Min Liu W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Allison Isaacs W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 17/06 | Ada Kumru W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 08/06 | Abigail Rencheli W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Abigail Rencheli W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Elizaveta Gurianova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Serife Pelin Sari W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Ayana Akli WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Polina Isakova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Vanja Gudelj W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Maddalena Giordano W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Farah Heddar W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Matilde Jorge W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sabine Rutlauka W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Giulia Pereira De Aguiar W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Valentina Losciale W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miroslava Medvedeva vs Polina Isakova?
Our model gives 64% to Polina Isakova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.