Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 05/07, 14:30
Prediction: Eva Alvarez Sande vs Lauryn John-Baptiste
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Lauryn John-Baptiste; the market gives 66% to Lauryn John-Baptiste (odds 1.40).
On recent form, Eva Alvarez Sande is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Lauryn John-Baptiste 7-3 over theirs.
63%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Alvarez Sande 1501 · Lauryn John-Baptiste 1565
| Eva Alvarez Sande | Lauryn John-Baptiste | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lauryn John-Baptiste (rating 1501 vs 1565).
- Note: Eva Alvarez Sande makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Eva Alvarez Sande | Lauryn John-Baptiste | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.8 | 11.4-7.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 25.7% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Alvarez Sande
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Neus Torner Sensano W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Sina Herrmann W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Delia Gaillard W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/05 | Allison Wang W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Sophie Suh W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/05 | Isabella Foshee W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Malene Helgo ITF W35 Vigo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Joy De Zeeuw ITF W35 Vigo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/08 | Raquel Gonzalez Vilar ITF W50 Ourense · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Isabel Adrover Gallego ITF W15 LPD Gran Canaria · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Lauryn John-Baptiste
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Matilde Jorge W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Emma Mazzoni W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Coral Valle W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Viktoria Hruncakova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Belle Thompson W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Carla Tomai W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/06 | Matilde Jorge W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/06 | Ana Filipa Santos W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Laima Vladson W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Alvarez Sande vs Lauryn John-Baptiste?
Our model gives 63% to Lauryn John-Baptiste, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.