Tennis · W75 The Hague · 05/07, 14:00
Prediction: Warda Ait El Bachir vs Josy Daems
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Josy Daems; the market gives 84% to Josy Daems (odds 1.11).
Over their last 10 matches, Warda Ait El Bachir sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Josy Daems arrives on a 6-4 run.
70%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Warda Ait El Bachir 1500 · Josy Daems 1516
| Warda Ait El Bachir | Josy Daems | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Warda Ait El Bachir | Josy Daems | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-8.5 | 10.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 49% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Warda Ait El Bachir
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Daria Egorova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Maria Mikhailova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Manal Ennaciri W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Allegra Fiorani W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/06 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Sharanya Shetty W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/04 | Cristina Diaz Adrover W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/04 | Marie Mettraux W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/04 | Tea Lukic UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Josy Daems
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Valentina Ivanov W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Victoria Pohle W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Tina Manescu W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Alice Soulie W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 21/03 | Masha Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/03 | Lois Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/03 | Luna Vujovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/03 | Eva Guerrero Alvarez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/02 | Carolin Raschdorf W15 Leimen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Warda Ait El Bachir vs Josy Daems?
Our model gives 70% to Josy Daems, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.