Tennis · W75 The Hague · 05/07, 11:00
Prediction: Lia Karatancheva vs Charlotte Pikkaart
See it on the live radar ↗Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Lia Karatancheva; the market gives 88% to Lia Karatancheva (odds 1.06).
Over their last 10 matches, Lia Karatancheva sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Charlotte Pikkaart arrives on a 5-5 run.
76%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lia Karatancheva 1537 · Charlotte Pikkaart 1466
| Lia Karatancheva | Charlotte Pikkaart | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lia Karatancheva (rating 1537 vs 1466).
- Lia Karatancheva is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lia Karatancheva | Charlotte Pikkaart | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-6.8 | 8.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lia Karatancheva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 01/07 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Joy De Zeeuw W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Lucie Urbanova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Gabriela Gregorczyk W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Cagla Buyukakcay W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Valeria Garnevska W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Charlotte Pikkaart
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Anika Jaskova W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Tina Manescu W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/04 | Venla Ahti W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/04 | Diana Marcinkevica UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/04 | Rita Freitas UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/04 | Mia Chudejova UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Polina Leykina UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/03 | Denise Valente UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 15/03 | Romane Morel W15 Le Havre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lia Karatancheva vs Charlotte Pikkaart?
Our model gives 76% to Lia Karatancheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.