Tennis · W75 The Hague · 05/07, 14:00

Prediction: Rikke De Koning vs Sara Cakarevic

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Rikke De Koning; the market gives 59% to Sara Cakarevic (odds 1.57).

Recent form leaves Rikke De Koning with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Sara Cakarevic has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

54%2
46% 54%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rikke De Koning 1491 · Sara Cakarevic 1484
Rikke De KoningSara Cakarevic
Our model51%49%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Rikke De Koning makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Rikke De KoningSara Cakarevic
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.31.1-1.4
Games (G-P)11-10.910.4-12.3
Aces1.22.3
Double faults5.42.4
1st serve %53%53.9%
Break %60.6%54%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rikke De Koning

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Carmen Andreea Herea
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
29/06 Polina Kuharenko
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 12-11 W
24/06 Charlotte Narti
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
05/05 Rebecca Peterson
W15 Kalmar · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
28/04 Eva Marie Voracek
W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
1-2 14-14 L
18/04 Michelle Dzjachangirova
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-1 13-11 W
17/04 Kathleen Kanev
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-1 15-8 W
16/04 Francesca Dell'edera
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/04 Vivien Sandberg
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/04 Annemarie Lazar
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Sara Cakarevic

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Giorgia Pedone
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 9-15 L
30/06 Amelie Brooks
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/06 Alina Granwehr
W75 Blois · ~Clay
1-2 11-17 L
15/06 Kim Chiarello
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
31/03 Katarina Kuzmova
W50 Nantes · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
22/03 Kira Pavlova
W50 Croissy-Beaubourg · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
24/02 Beatrise Zeltina
W75 Trnava
0-2 8-13 L
23/02 Kristina Novak
W75 Trnava
2-1 14-12 W
17/02 Sarah Iliev
W50 Macon · ~Hard
1-2 18-18 L
16/02 Massiva Boukirat
W50 Macon · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rikke De Koning vs Sara Cakarevic?

Our model gives 54% to Sara Cakarevic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.