Tennis · W75 The Hague · 05/07, 14:00
Prediction: Jenny Lim vs Madelief Hageman
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Jenny Lim; the market gives 79% to Jenny Lim (odds 1.17).
Over their last 10 matches, Jenny Lim sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Madelief Hageman arrives on a 5-5 run.
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jenny Lim 1531 · Madelief Hageman 1485
| Jenny Lim | Madelief Hageman | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jenny Lim (rating 1531 vs 1485).
- Head-to-head: Jenny Lim 1–0 Madelief Hageman (1).
- Note: Jenny Lim makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Jenny Lim | Madelief Hageman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9 | 10.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 53.1% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Jenny Lim 1 – 0 Madelief Hageman (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jenny Lim 1–0 Madelief Hageman
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/22 ITF W15 Wanfercee-Baulet | 2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jenny Lim
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Sofya Lansere W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Liv Boulard W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Clara Burel W35 Nice |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Alina Granwehr W35 Nice |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Oana Georgeta Simion W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Emira Diabate W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Margaux Rouvroy W35 Nice |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 31/05 | Franziska Sziedat W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Madelief Hageman
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Daniela Vismane W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Lian Tran W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Monika Wojcik W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Iva Ivanova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 15/06 | Alexa Karatancheva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Karine Sarkisova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Aleksandra Djokic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/06 | Natalija Senic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Katarina Kujovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jenny Lim vs Madelief Hageman?
Our model gives 69% to Jenny Lim, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.