Tennis · W75 The Hague · 05/07, 15:30

Prediction: Lian Tran vs Anastasia Abbagnato

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Lian Tran; the market gives 56% to Lian Tran (odds 1.67).

Recent form leaves Lian Tran with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Anastasia Abbagnato has piled up 3-7 in the same span.

55%1
55% 45%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lian Tran 1492 · Anastasia Abbagnato 1459
Lian TranAnastasia Abbagnato
Our model55%45%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Lian Tran 0–1 Anastasia Abbagnato (1).

Statistics

Lian TranAnastasia Abbagnato
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 50% (8) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.20.9-1.5
Games (G-P)7.9-10.410.4-12.6
Aces0.12.3
Double faults3.72.8
1st serve %53%60%
Break %48.7%38.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

H2H · Lian Tran 01 Anastasia Abbagnato (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lian Tran 01 Anastasia Abbagnato

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DateSetsGamesRes.
07/08/25
ITF W50 Koksijde
0-24-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lian Tran

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Maria Sara Popa
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 9-16 L
30/06 Carla Markus
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/06 Isis Louise Van den Broek
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 6-11 L
26/06 Dune Vaissaud
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
25/06 Madelief Hageman
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
23/06 Anna Ozerova
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
05/05 Ruby Cooling
W35 Nottingham
0-2 3-12 L
29/04 Iva Marinkovic
W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/11 Luisina Giovannini
WTA Tucuman · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
30/10 Ana Sofia Sanchez
ITF W100 Irapuato · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Anastasia Abbagnato

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/06 Ruien Zhang
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
1-2 10-15 L
11/06 Camilla Gennaro
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
10/06 Galatea Ferro
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
31/05 Marta Lombardini
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
1-2 15-18 L
21/04 Emma Jackson
W35 Charlotte
0-2 7-12 L
18/03 Jazmin Ortenzi
W50 Chihuahua
0-2 4-12 L
17/03 Diletta Cherubini
W50 Chihuahua
2-1 19-16 W
25/02 Akasha Urhobo
W35 Arcadia · ~Hard
1-2 13-14 L
20/02 Kristina Liutova
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
18/02 Kylie Collins
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lian Tran vs Anastasia Abbagnato?

Our model gives 55% to Lian Tran, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.