Prediction: Lian Tran vs Anastasia Abbagnato
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Lian Tran; the market gives 56% to Lian Tran (odds 1.67).
Recent form leaves Lian Tran with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Anastasia Abbagnato has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
| Lian Tran | Anastasia Abbagnato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lian Tran 0–1 Anastasia Abbagnato (1).
Statistics
| Lian Tran | Anastasia Abbagnato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-10.4 | 10.4-12.6 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 53% | 60% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 38.7% |
H2H · Lian Tran 0 – 1 Anastasia Abbagnato (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lian Tran 0–1 Anastasia Abbagnato
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/25 ITF W50 Koksijde | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lian Tran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Carla Markus W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 26/06 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Madelief Hageman W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Anna Ozerova W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Ruby Cooling W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Iva Marinkovic W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez ITF W100 Irapuato · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Anastasia Abbagnato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Ruien Zhang W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Camilla Gennaro W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Galatea Ferro W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Marta Lombardini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/04 | Emma Jackson W35 Charlotte |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Jazmin Ortenzi W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Diletta Cherubini W50 Chihuahua |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 25/02 | Akasha Urhobo W35 Arcadia · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/02 | Kristina Liutova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/02 | Kylie Collins W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lian Tran vs Anastasia Abbagnato?
Our model gives 55% to Lian Tran, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

