Tennis · W75 The Hague · 05/07, 11:00
Prediction: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Charlotte Van Zonneveld
See it on the live radar ↗Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur; the market gives 88% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (odds 1.07).
Over their last 10 matches, Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Charlotte Van Zonneveld arrives on a 6-4 run.
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1563 · Charlotte Van Zonneveld 1524
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Charlotte Van Zonneveld | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Charlotte Van Zonneveld makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Charlotte Van Zonneveld | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-7.8 | 11-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 54.5% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 67.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Barbora Palicova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/06 | Julie Pastikova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Alena Kovackova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Ivana Sebestova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Amy Sucha W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Isabella Maria Serban W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 19/05 | Luisa Fusil W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/04 | Tara Wuerth W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Charlotte Van Zonneveld
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Irina Balus W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Anna Ozerova W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/02 | Julia Stusek W15 Leimen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Michelle Khomich W15 Leimen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/02 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Leimen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/02 | Polina Skliar W15 Leimen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Jasmijn Gimbrere UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/01 | Anastasia Kulikova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/01 | Annika Barth UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/12 | Sem Hazes UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Charlotte Van Zonneveld?
Our model gives 73% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.