Tennis · M25 Marburg · 05/07, 13:00
Prediction: Max Wiskandt vs Daniel Siniakov
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Max Wiskandt; the market gives 56% to Daniel Siniakov (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, Max Wiskandt sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Daniel Siniakov arrives on a 7-3 run.
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Wiskandt 1562 · Daniel Siniakov 1539
| Max Wiskandt | Daniel Siniakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Max Wiskandt 1–0 Daniel Siniakov (1).
- Note: Daniel Siniakov makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Max Wiskandt | Daniel Siniakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8 | 12.5-10.7 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Max Wiskandt 1 – 0 Daniel Siniakov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Max Wiskandt 1–0 Daniel Siniakov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/23 M25 Marburg | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Wiskandt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Jonathan Mridha M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Pepijn Bastiaansen M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Marcel Volz M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Tom Zeuch M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Niklas Guttau M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Gabriele Volpi M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Daniel Siniakov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Michel Hopp M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Denis Petak M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Tim Handel M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Filip Cristian Jianu M25 Louny · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Wiskandt vs Daniel Siniakov?
Our model gives 52% to Daniel Siniakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.