Prediction: Daniel Siniakov vs Michel Hopp
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Michel Hopp; the market gives 77% to Daniel Siniakov (odds 1.22).
On recent form, Daniel Siniakov is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Michel Hopp 5-5 over theirs.
| Daniel Siniakov | Michel Hopp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Daniel Siniakov 1–0 Michel Hopp (1).
- Note: Daniel Siniakov makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Siniakov | Michel Hopp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.4 | 11.5-9.6 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 44% |
H2H · Daniel Siniakov 1 – 0 Michel Hopp (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Siniakov 1–0 Michel Hopp
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/25 ITF M15 Frankfurt | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Siniakov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Denis Petak M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Tim Handel M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Filip Cristian Jianu M25 Louny · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Michel Hopp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Oliver Majdandzic M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Lasse Poertner M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Federico Iannaccone M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Marcus Walters M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Niels McDonald M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Louis Wessels M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
1-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Tom Sickenberger M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/05 | Max Wiskandt M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Siniakov vs Michel Hopp?
Our model gives 64% to Daniel Siniakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.