Tennis · M25 Marburg · 03/07, 10:00

Prediction: Jonathan Mridha vs Max Wiskandt

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Jonathan Mridha; the market gives 66% to Max Wiskandt (odds 1.40).

On recent form, Jonathan Mridha is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Max Wiskandt 7-3 over theirs.

59%2
41% 59%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jonathan Mridha 1555 · Max Wiskandt 1549
Jonathan MridhaMax Wiskandt
Our model51%49%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Max Wiskandt dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 44.4% break avg.

Statistics

Jonathan MridhaMax Wiskandt
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 67% (6) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.91.4-0.8
Games (G-P)12.7-9.811.5-9.4
Aces3.56.9
Double faults0.93.2
1st serve %71.8%75.1%
Break %58.3%44.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jonathan Mridha

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Justin Schlageter
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-1 14-13 W
01/07 Rudolf Molleker
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W
30/06 Julius Maximilian Haus
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
24/06 Alan Wazny
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
1-2 9-11 L
11/06 Aristotelis Thanos
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
10/06 Jannik Opitz
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 12-9 W
10/06 Lorenzo Ferri
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
08/06 William Elmers
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/05 Nemanja Malesevic
M15 Doboj · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
20/05 Alen Mujakic
M15 Doboj · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W

Max Wiskandt

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Pepijn Bastiaansen
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
01/07 Marcel Volz
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Tom Zeuch
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L
24/06 Yuichiro Inui
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
12/06 Sandro Kopp
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
11/06 Niklas Guttau
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-1 14-12 W
10/06 Gabriele Volpi
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
02/06 Diego Dedura-Palomero
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
01/06 Georgii Kravchenko
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
2-1 16-15 W
31/05 Christoph Negritu
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jonathan Mridha vs Max Wiskandt?

Our model gives 59% to Max Wiskandt, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.