Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 05/07, 15:30
Prediction: Olle Wallin vs Matei Varbanciu
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 72% to Olle Wallin; the market gives 96% to Olle Wallin (odds 1.00).
Over their last 10 matches, Olle Wallin sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Matei Varbanciu arrives on a 2-8 run.
85%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olle Wallin 1560 · Matei Varbanciu 1395
| Olle Wallin | Matei Varbanciu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 96% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olle Wallin (rating 1560 vs 1395).
- Olle Wallin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Olle Wallin | Matei Varbanciu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 0% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.1 | 5.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 46.9% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olle Wallin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Harold Huens M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Noah Martens M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Justas Trainauskas M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Matei Varbanciu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Luca Potenza Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Pepijn Bastiaansen M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 29/11 | Dragos Constantin Ignat UTR Pro Bucharest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/11 | Calin Apostol UTR Pro Bucharest · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 27/11 | Mihai Alexandru Coman UTR Pro Bucharest · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Noah Perfetti ITF M15 Otopeni |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Uladzimir Ignatik M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olle Wallin vs Matei Varbanciu?
Our model gives 85% to Olle Wallin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.