Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 05/07, 14:00
Prediction: Daniel Uta vs S D Prajwal Dev
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Daniel Uta; the market gives 54% to Daniel Uta (odds 1.73).
Over their last 10 matches, Daniel Uta sits at 5-5 (W-L), while S D Prajwal Dev arrives on a 3-7 run.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Uta 1517 · S D Prajwal Dev 1467
| Daniel Uta | S D Prajwal Dev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Uta (rating 1517 vs 1467).
Statistics
| Daniel Uta | S D Prajwal Dev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.3 | 8.7-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 71% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Uta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Nicholas David Ionel M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
| 19/05 | Lorenzo Lorusso M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 25/04 | Keaton Hance M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 24/04 | Gus Grumet M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 23/04 | Hunter Heck M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/04 | Evan Bynoe M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/04 | Oren Vasser M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
S D Prajwal Dev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Gabriel Gomez Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Manish Sureshkumar M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 05/05 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/04 | Jie Cui M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Shaoyun Liu M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/04 | Shunsuke Nakagawa Challenger Wuning Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Uta vs S D Prajwal Dev?
Our model gives 55% to Daniel Uta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.