Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 05/07, 15:30

Prediction: Jiri Cizek vs Dragos Nicolae Cazacu

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Jiri Cizek; the market gives 66% to Dragos Nicolae Cazacu (odds 1.40).

Over their last 10 matches, Jiri Cizek sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Dragos Nicolae Cazacu arrives on a 4-6 run.

58%2
42% 58%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jiri Cizek 1491 · Dragos Nicolae Cazacu 1469
Jiri CizekDragos Nicolae Cazacu
Our model53%47%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jiri CizekDragos Nicolae Cazacu
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 44% (9) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31-1.2
Games (G-P)9.7-10.69.4-9.6
Aces4.70.8
Double faults3.21.7
1st serve %74.6%61.9%
Break %35.7%55.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jiri Cizek

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Amine Jamji
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
30/06 Essa Qabazard
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/06 Gioele Cerelli
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 11-8 W
10/06 Georgii Kravchenko
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
08/06 Enrique Bogo
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
21/05 Tiago Pereira
M25 Bol · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
19/05 Alan Wazny
M25 Bol · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W
11/05 Nikolai Barsukov
M25 Louny · ~Clay
1-2 11-11 L
26/04 Gabi Adrian Boitan
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/04 Gabriel Ghetu
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Dragos Nicolae Cazacu

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/06 Olle Wallin
Challenger Brasov · Clay
1-2 14-19 L
22/06 Imanol Lopez Morillo
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
21/06 Ajeet Rai
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
17/06 Robert Guna
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
11/06 Fadi Bidan
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
1-1 5-6 L
09/06 Alexander Frusina
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
04/06 Radu Mihai Papoe
M25 Bistrita · ~Clay
0-2 2-11 L
03/06 David Popa
M25 Bistrita · ~Clay
2-1 14-9 W
25/05 Sergey Fomin
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/05 Daniel Uta
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jiri Cizek vs Dragos Nicolae Cazacu?

Our model gives 58% to Dragos Nicolae Cazacu, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.