Prediction: Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Facundo Diaz Acosta; the market gives 66% to Facundo Diaz Acosta (odds 1.40).
On recent form, Facundo Diaz Acosta is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Marco Cecchinato 6-4 over theirs.
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 89% (9) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.7 | 12.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 42.1% |
H2H · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1 – 1 Marco Cecchinato (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1–1 Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/25 Challenger Montevideo | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10/22 Challenger Coquimbo | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Alexis Galarneau Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato?
Our model gives 59% to Facundo Diaz Acosta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.