Tennis · Challenger Milan · 03/07, 11:30
Prediction: Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Facundo Diaz Acosta; the market gives 83% to Facundo Diaz Acosta (odds 1.13).
On recent form, Facundo Diaz Acosta is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 7-3 over theirs.
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1572 · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 1557
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.7 | 11.6-8.9 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 66% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Alexis Galarneau Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Learner Tien French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 26-27 | L |
| 26/05 | Zhizhen Zhang French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Niccolo Catini Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Adam Lynch M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Jacopo Borsoi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano?
Our model gives 69% to Facundo Diaz Acosta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.