Prediction: Daniel Rincon vs Facundo Diaz Acosta
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Facundo Diaz Acosta; the market gives 73% to Facundo Diaz Acosta (odds 1.28).
Over their last 10 matches, Daniel Rincon sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Facundo Diaz Acosta arrives on a 6-4 run.
| Daniel Rincon | Facundo Diaz Acosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Daniel Rincon 0–1 Facundo Diaz Acosta (1).
Statistics
| Daniel Rincon | Facundo Diaz Acosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.4 | 12.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 39.8% |
H2H · Daniel Rincon 0 – 1 Facundo Diaz Acosta (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Rincon 0–1 Facundo Diaz Acosta
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/24 ATP Barcelona | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Rincon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Vic |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/05 | Jack Kennedy M25 Vic |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Facundo Diaz Acosta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Alexis Galarneau Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Learner Tien French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 26-27 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Rincon vs Facundo Diaz Acosta?
Our model gives 65% to Facundo Diaz Acosta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.