Tennis · UTR Pro Boca Raton · 05/07, 14:30
Prediction: Jon Gamble vs Agustin Mastri
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Agustin Mastri; the market gives 58% to Agustin Mastri (odds 1.61).
Over their last 10 matches, Jon Gamble sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Agustin Mastri arrives on a 6-4 run.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jon Gamble 1518 · Agustin Mastri 1563
| Jon Gamble | Agustin Mastri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Agustin Mastri (rating 1518 vs 1563).
Statistics
| Jon Gamble | Agustin Mastri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.7 | 10.5-7.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 64.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jon Gamble
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Corey Craig UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Nicholas Mekhael UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Junior T Pichardo UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Matthew Dubas UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Daniil Berezin UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Jordan Reznik UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/05 | Aaron Eliscu UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/05 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Jovan Lubbe UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Agustin Mastri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Sebastian Sec UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Junior T Pichardo UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Alvaro Frutos Alonso UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Danial Rakhmatullayev UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Achyuth Binu UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Maddox Lundell UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Evan Wen UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Miles Jones UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jon Gamble vs Agustin Mastri?
Our model gives 57% to Agustin Mastri, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.