Tennis · UTR Pro Boca Raton · 03/07, 16:30
Prediction: Andrew Kotzen vs Kristof Minarik
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Andrew Kotzen; the market gives 59% to Kristof Minarik (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Andrew Kotzen is 2-8 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kristof Minarik 3-7 over theirs.
54%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrew Kotzen 1442 · Kristof Minarik 1427
| Andrew Kotzen | Kristof Minarik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrew Kotzen | Kristof Minarik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-12.2 | 7.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 57% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrew Kotzen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Lorenzo Esquici UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Agustin Mastri UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Alvaro Frutos Alonso UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Lucas Kimelman UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Drew Hedgecoe UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Evan Sharygin UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Cornelius Alexander Shalmi UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Ainius Sabaliauskas UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Colson Wells UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Kristof Minarik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Alexander Suhanitski UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Lorenzo Esquici UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Carter Craig UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Junghee You UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 17/12 | Aram Noroozian UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/12 | Liam Krall UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/12 | Joe Leather UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/12 | Tian Hao Hou UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Adrien Berrut UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Luca Matteo Sobbe UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrew Kotzen vs Kristof Minarik?
Our model gives 54% to Kristof Minarik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.