Tennis · UTR Pro Boca Raton · 04/07, 14:30
Prediction: Agustin Mastri vs Sebastian Sec
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Sebastian Sec; the market gives 71% to Sebastian Sec (odds 1.33).
On recent form, Agustin Mastri is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sebastian Sec 7-3 over theirs.
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Agustin Mastri 1589 · Sebastian Sec 1600
| Agustin Mastri | Sebastian Sec | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Agustin Mastri | Sebastian Sec | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.8 | 12.3-8.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 62% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Agustin Mastri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Junior T Pichardo UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Alvaro Frutos Alonso UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Danial Rakhmatullayev UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Achyuth Binu UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Maddox Lundell UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Evan Wen UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Miles Jones UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Matic Kriznik UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Sebastian Sec
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Junghee You UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Danial Rakhmatullayev UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Junior T Pichardo UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Noah McDonald UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/06 | Maximillian Mroz UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Santiago Giamichelle UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | ZhengQing Ji UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 08/08 | JanMagnus Johnson UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Agustin Mastri vs Sebastian Sec?
Our model gives 62% to Sebastian Sec, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.