Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 04/07, 23:30
Prediction: Eduarda Piai vs Ares Teixido Garcia
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Eduarda Piai; the market gives 69% to Eduarda Piai (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Eduarda Piai sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Ares Teixido Garcia arrives on a 6-4 run.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eduarda Piai 1505 · Ares Teixido Garcia 1481
| Eduarda Piai | Ares Teixido Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Eduarda Piai makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Ares Teixido Garcia makes many double faults (11.4/match).
Statistics
| Eduarda Piai | Ares Teixido Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.3 | 9.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 11.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eduarda Piai
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Paula Dougherty UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Emily Meng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 17/05 | Sophia Dumitrascu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/05 | Maily Huynh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Zdena Safarova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Gala Arangio UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Yen Nhi Huynh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/05 | Sonya Goldberg UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ares Teixido Garcia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Esther Vyrlan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Nicole Weng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Tallia Harper UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Sofia De Looze UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Madelynn Ludwig UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Juliet Jia Wen Zhang UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Lamija Avdic UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabriella Davydov UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eduarda Piai vs Ares Teixido Garcia?
Our model gives 62% to Eduarda Piai, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.