Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 04/07, 03:30
Prediction: Esther Vyrlan vs Ares Teixido Garcia
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Ares Teixido Garcia; the market gives 65% to Ares Teixido Garcia (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Esther Vyrlan is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ares Teixido Garcia 5-5 over theirs.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Esther Vyrlan 1415 · Ares Teixido Garcia 1454
| Esther Vyrlan | Ares Teixido Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Esther Vyrlan makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Ares Teixido Garcia makes many double faults (11.9/match).
Statistics
| Esther Vyrlan | Ares Teixido Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-11.7 | 9.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 11.9 |
| 1st serve % | 50.7% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Esther Vyrlan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Kate Gardiner UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Natalie Lynch UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/05 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Savannah Webster UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Germany Davis UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Mckenzie Shelton UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Ares Teixido Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Nicole Weng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Tallia Harper UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Sofia De Looze UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Madelynn Ludwig UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Juliet Jia Wen Zhang UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Lamija Avdic UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabriella Davydov UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Polina Leykina W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Esther Vyrlan vs Ares Teixido Garcia?
Our model gives 60% to Ares Teixido Garcia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.