Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 04/07, 02:00
Prediction: Daniela Borruel vs Lexie Weir
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Daniela Borruel; the market gives 79% to Daniela Borruel (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Daniela Borruel with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Lexie Weir has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniela Borruel 1591 · Lexie Weir 1555
| Daniela Borruel | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniela Borruel | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-6.7 | 11.5-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 62% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 60.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniela Borruel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Paula Dougherty UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Natalie Stasny UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/07 | Camille Kiss UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Anastasia Grechkina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Agnes Guggenheim UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/06 | Kohana Darroch UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 10/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Los Angeles Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Camille Kiss UTR Pro Los Angeles Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Lexie Weir
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Esther Vyrlan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Elena Mireles UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Zuzanna Kubacha UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lera Alexin UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Kenna Erickson UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Stanislava Shulzhenko UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Destanee Aiava UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Sara Mickoska UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniela Borruel vs Lexie Weir?
Our model gives 69% to Daniela Borruel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.