Prediction: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Adrienn Nagy
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Adrienn Nagy; the market gives 69% to Adrienn Nagy (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Rebecca Munk Mortensen with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Adrienn Nagy has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
| Rebecca Munk Mortensen | Adrienn Nagy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrienn Nagy (rating 1532 vs 1587).
- Head-to-head: Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1–0 Adrienn Nagy (1).
- Note: Rebecca Munk Mortensen makes many double faults (6.8/match).
- Note: Adrienn Nagy makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Rebecca Munk Mortensen | Adrienn Nagy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.1 | 13.2-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 55.2% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 57.7% |
H2H · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1 – 0 Adrienn Nagy (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1–0 Adrienn Nagy
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/23 ITF W25 Koge | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Emma Slavikova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Luca Kalman W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Madison Sieg W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Emma Kamper W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Didi Bredberg Canizares W15 Madrid |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/05 | Iva Marinkovic W15 Kalmar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Grace Bernstein W15 Kalmar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/04 | Tilwith Di Girolami W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Petra Marcinko Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Adrienn Nagy
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Marie Mettraux W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Anna Mihalka W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Panna Bartha W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/06 | Julia Stusek W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Tina Manescu W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Merel Hoedt W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Eszter Meri W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 08/06 | Enola Chiesa W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/06 | Noa Krznaric W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Adrienn Nagy?
Our model gives 64% to Adrienn Nagy, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.