Tennis · W15 Mogyorod · 03/07, 10:00

Prediction: Emma Slavikova vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Rebecca Munk Mortensen; the market gives 75% to Rebecca Munk Mortensen (odds 1.25).

On recent form, Emma Slavikova is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Rebecca Munk Mortensen 4-6 over theirs.

66%2
34% 66%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emma Slavikova 1480 · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1514
Emma SlavikovaRebecca Munk Mortensen
Our model45%55%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Emma Slavikova 0–1 Rebecca Munk Mortensen (1).
  • Note: Emma Slavikova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
  • Note: Rebecca Munk Mortensen makes many double faults (6.5/match).

Statistics

Emma SlavikovaRebecca Munk Mortensen
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 44% (9) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.51-1.4
Games (G-P)8.3-11.710.3-11.5
Aces20.8
Double faults5.76.5
1st serve %55.4%52.4%
Break %42.7%44.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

H2H · Emma Slavikova 01 Rebecca Munk Mortensen (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Emma Slavikova 01 Rebecca Munk Mortensen

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DateSetsGamesRes.
11/09/25
ITF W15 Radom
1-28-14L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emma Slavikova

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Radka Zelnickova
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
01/07 Stefanie Auer
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-1 13-11 W
22/06 Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
08/06 Denisa Zoldakova
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
07/06 Izabela Heinzova
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
26/05 Nikola Daubnerova
W15 Szentendre · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
21/05 Camilla Gennaro
W15 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
19/05 Jenny Duerst
W15 Grado · ~Clay
2-1 13-13 W
12/05 Denisa Zoldakova
W15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
02/05 Maria Garcia Cid
W15 Madrid
0-2 3-12 L

Rebecca Munk Mortensen

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Chiara Fornasieri
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W
01/07 Luca Kalman
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-1 17-12 W
18/06 Madison Sieg
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/06 Emma Kamper
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
10/06 Didi Bredberg Canizares
W15 Madrid
2-1 18-12 W
07/05 Iva Marinkovic
W15 Kalmar · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
06/05 Grace Bernstein
W15 Kalmar · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
28/04 Tilwith Di Girolami
W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
10/04 Petra Marcinko
Billie Jean King Cup
0-2 6-13 L
09/04 Noma Noha Akugue
Billie Jean King Cup
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emma Slavikova vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen?

Our model gives 66% to Rebecca Munk Mortensen, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.