Tennis · W15 Mogyorod · 02/07, 10:30
Prediction: Kali Supova vs Eszter Meri
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Eszter Meri; the market gives 65% to Eszter Meri (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Kali Supova is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Eszter Meri 6-4 over theirs.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kali Supova 1527 · Eszter Meri 1551
| Kali Supova | Eszter Meri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kali Supova makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Kali Supova | Eszter Meri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.4 | 10.1-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 54.9% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kali Supova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Melissa Boyden W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Aleksandra Janiszewska W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Weronika Falkowska W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 07/06 | Kiara Zabkova W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Ziva Falkner W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Salma Drugdova W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Valeriia Artemeva W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 18/05 | Ayla Aksu W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 10/05 | Radka Zelnickova W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 24/02 | Yuriko Lily Miyazaki W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Eszter Meri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Maria Golovina W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Adrienn Nagy W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Gina Marie Dittmann W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Anika Jaskova W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/06 | Katerina Tsygourova W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Ioana Teodora Sava W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Ria Dernikovic W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/11 | Cristina R Sierra ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Claire Liu WTA Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kali Supova vs Eszter Meri?
Our model gives 60% to Eszter Meri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.