Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 04/07, 10:00
Prediction: Anna Petkovic vs Elza Tomase
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Elza Tomase; the market gives 56% to Elza Tomase (odds 1.67).
On recent form, Anna Petkovic is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Elza Tomase 7-3 over theirs.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Petkovic 1527 · Elza Tomase 1551
| Anna Petkovic | Elza Tomase | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elza Tomase makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Anna Petkovic | Elza Tomase | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (3) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.8 | 9.9-7.8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Kristina Kovgan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Zi Ying Ruan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 02/03 | Erika Andreeva W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Manacor |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 19/01 | Emily Appleton W75 Leszno · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/01 | Weronika Falkowska W75 Leszno · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 13/01 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W50 Manchester · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/01 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W50 Manchester · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/01 | Summer Yardley W50 Manchester · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Elza Tomase
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Dunja Maric W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Dana Charintceva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Aleksandra Pozarenko W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Mina Hodzic W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Ipek Oz W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Nika Cakarun W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 11/03 | Natalija Senic W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Eleni Tsetsou W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/03 | Laura Boehner W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Petkovic vs Elza Tomase?
Our model gives 55% to Elza Tomase, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.