Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 03/07, 09:00
Prediction: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Dunja Maric; the market gives 65% to Dunja Maric (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, Elza Tomase sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Dunja Maric arrives on a 7-3 run.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elza Tomase 1539 · Dunja Maric 1563
| Elza Tomase | Dunja Maric | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elza Tomase makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Elza Tomase | Dunja Maric | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-7.8 | 12.8-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elza Tomase
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Dana Charintceva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Aleksandra Pozarenko W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Mina Hodzic W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Ipek Oz W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Nika Cakarun W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 11/03 | Natalija Senic W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Eleni Tsetsou W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/03 | Laura Boehner W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/03 | Sapir Cohen W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Dunja Maric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Viktoria Veleva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Sophie Luescher W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Miriana Tona W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Federica Bilardo W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/05 | Ipek Oz W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Isabella Maria Serban W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Alevtina Ibragimova W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/05 | Meta Marenk W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/05 | Briana Szabo W15 Beograd · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric?
Our model gives 60% to Dunja Maric, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.