Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 03/07, 03:10
Prediction: Camille Kiss vs Natalie Lynch
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 71% to Camille Kiss; the market gives 79% to Camille Kiss (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Camille Kiss is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Natalie Lynch 3-7 over theirs.
76%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Camille Kiss 1576 · Natalie Lynch 1422
| Camille Kiss | Natalie Lynch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Camille Kiss (rating 1576 vs 1422).
- Camille Kiss is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Camille Kiss makes many double faults (10.3/match).
- Note: Natalie Lynch makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Camille Kiss | Natalie Lynch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.6 | 8.5-12.1 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 10.3 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 48.8% |
| Break % | 65.1% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Camille Kiss
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Paula Dougherty UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Emma Tutoveanu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/06 | Mika Ikemori UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Campbell Ricci UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Anya Murthy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Emily Robertson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Kingsley Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Natalie Lynch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Juliet Jia Wen Zhang UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Bhakti Shah UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Sofia De Looze UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Emma Dong UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Tia Bonita Jakupovic-Kljako UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Kate Gardiner UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Esther Vyrlan UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Sae Noguchi UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kanna Soeda UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Camille Kiss vs Natalie Lynch?
Our model gives 76% to Camille Kiss, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.