Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 03/07, 10:30
Prediction: Semen Pankin vs Ilya Snitari
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Semen Pankin; the market gives 63% to Semen Pankin (odds 1.50).
Recent form leaves Semen Pankin with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Ilya Snitari has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Semen Pankin 1556 · Ilya Snitari 1529
| Semen Pankin | Ilya Snitari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Semen Pankin | Ilya Snitari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-11 | 10.7-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 36.8% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Semen Pankin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Luc Koenig Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Vadym Ursu M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Yanki Erel M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/05 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Ilya Snitari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Marko Bekeni M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Rihards Neimanis Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Doni Gashi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Aleksandre Bakshi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Kalin Ivanovski Davis Cup |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Radu Mihai Papoe M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Erik Schiessl M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Darius Florin Pop M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/03 | Michael Antonius M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Semen Pankin vs Ilya Snitari?
Our model gives 59% to Semen Pankin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.