Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 03/07, 09:00
Prediction: Kristina Kovgan vs Anna Petkovic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Kristina Kovgan; the market gives 79% to Anna Petkovic (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Kristina Kovgan is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Anna Petkovic 5-5 over theirs.
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Kovgan 1517 · Anna Petkovic 1502
| Kristina Kovgan | Anna Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kristina Kovgan makes many double faults (9.6/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Kovgan | Anna Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.8 | 9.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 9.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 57.2% | 59.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Kovgan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Helena Muzinic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Lidia Encheva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Doroteja Petrovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 11/05 | Valeria Garnevska W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/01 | Stella Remander W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Milica Stosovic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Anna Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Zi Ying Ruan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 02/03 | Erika Andreeva W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Manacor |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 19/01 | Emily Appleton W75 Leszno · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/01 | Weronika Falkowska W75 Leszno · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 13/01 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W50 Manchester · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/01 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W50 Manchester · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/01 | Summer Yardley W50 Manchester · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/12 | Petra Konjikusic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Kovgan vs Anna Petkovic?
Our model gives 65% to Anna Petkovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.