Tennis · W15 Mogyorod · 02/07, 10:30
Prediction: Radka Zelnickova vs Emma Slavikova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Radka Zelnickova; the market gives 87% to Radka Zelnickova (odds 1.08).
Over their last 10 matches, Radka Zelnickova sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Emma Slavikova arrives on a 4-6 run.
75%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Radka Zelnickova 1541 · Emma Slavikova 1470
| Radka Zelnickova | Emma Slavikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Radka Zelnickova (rating 1541 vs 1470).
- Note: Emma Slavikova makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Radka Zelnickova | Emma Slavikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.8 | 8.2-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Radka Zelnickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Klara Blazkova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Noemi Basiletti W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Alja Senica W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Linda Sevcikova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Kathinka Von Deichmann W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Marie Vogt W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Irina Balus W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Emma Slavikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Stefanie Auer W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Izabela Heinzova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Nikola Daubnerova W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Camilla Gennaro W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Jenny Duerst W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/05 | Denisa Zoldakova W15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Maria Garcia Cid W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Maileen Nuudi W15 Madrid |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Radka Zelnickova vs Emma Slavikova?
Our model gives 75% to Radka Zelnickova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.