Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 02/07, 10:30
Prediction: Timofei Derepasko vs Boris Butulija
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Boris Butulija; the market gives 63% to Timofei Derepasko (odds 1.50).
On recent form, Timofei Derepasko is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Boris Butulija 5-5 over theirs.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofei Derepasko 1474 · Boris Butulija 1505
| Timofei Derepasko | Boris Butulija | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Timofei Derepasko | Boris Butulija | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.4 | 9.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofei Derepasko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Luc Wieland M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Matteo Mesaglio M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Daniel Phillips M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Henry Jefferson M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/05 | Cooper Williams M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Preston Brown M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Matt Kleiman M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/05 | James Weber M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Dillon Beckles M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/05 | Lev Seidman M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Boris Butulija
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Vuk Pantic Crncevic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Simeon Stankovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 16/06 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Uros Zivkovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timofei Derepasko vs Boris Butulija?
Our model gives 55% to Timofei Derepasko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.