Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 02/07, 12:00
Prediction: Semen Pankin vs Maties Torres Ramis
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Semen Pankin; the market gives 91% to Semen Pankin (odds 1.03).
Recent form leaves Semen Pankin with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Maties Torres Ramis has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
76%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Semen Pankin 1565 · Maties Torres Ramis 1501
| Semen Pankin | Maties Torres Ramis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Semen Pankin (rating 1565 vs 1501).
Statistics
| Semen Pankin | Maties Torres Ramis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.6 | 10.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Semen Pankin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Luc Koenig Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Vadym Ursu M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Yanki Erel M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/05 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Gabriel Gomez M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Maties Torres Ramis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Benoit Torcq M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Victor Ryden M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/06 | Sergei Pogosian M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 27/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Amir Asylkozhaev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Brandon Walkin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Tom Sickenberger M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/02 | Mariano Tammaro M15 Almoradi · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Semen Pankin vs Maties Torres Ramis?
Our model gives 76% to Semen Pankin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.