Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 02/07, 09:00
Prediction: Kristina Kovgan vs Krystyna Pochtovyk
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Kristina Kovgan; the market gives 46% to Kristina Kovgan (odds 2.00).
Recent form leaves Kristina Kovgan with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Krystyna Pochtovyk has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Kovgan 1490 · Krystyna Pochtovyk 1452
| Kristina Kovgan | Krystyna Pochtovyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kristina Kovgan makes many double faults (9.1/match).
- Note: Krystyna Pochtovyk makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Kovgan | Krystyna Pochtovyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-9.7 | 9.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 9.1 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 53.4% |
| Break % | 57.4% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Kovgan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Helena Muzinic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Lidia Encheva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Doroteja Petrovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 11/05 | Valeria Garnevska W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/01 | Stella Remander W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Milica Stosovic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Dusica Popovski UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Krystyna Pochtovyk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Teodora Vlajic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Leticia Solakov W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Luna Maria Cinalli W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Kamilla Bartone W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/04 | Anastasia Mozgaleva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 08/04 | Sveva Pieroni W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 10/03 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Georgina Groth W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 08/03 | Marika Jones W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/03 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Kovgan vs Krystyna Pochtovyk?
Our model gives 50% to Kristina Kovgan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.