Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 03/07, 03:30
Prediction: Lily Fairclough vs Eduarda Piai
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Lily Fairclough; the market gives 75% to Lily Fairclough (odds 1.25).
Recent form leaves Lily Fairclough with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Eduarda Piai has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lily Fairclough 1527 · Eduarda Piai 1509
| Lily Fairclough | Eduarda Piai | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Eduarda Piai makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Lily Fairclough | Eduarda Piai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.9 | 12.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 72.7% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lily Fairclough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Emily Meng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Ayana Akli W35 Rome |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Maria Kononova W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Salma Ewing W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Avery Nguyen W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 30/05 | Salma Loudili UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 29/05 | Sonya Goldberg UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/05 | Alexandra Ozerets UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Eduarda Piai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Emily Meng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 17/05 | Sophia Dumitrascu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/05 | Maily Huynh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Zdena Safarova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Gala Arangio UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Yen Nhi Huynh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/05 | Sonya Goldberg UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/04 | Katiana Gonzalez UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/04 | Matilde Magrini UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lily Fairclough vs Eduarda Piai?
Our model gives 65% to Lily Fairclough, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.