Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 03/07, 02:00
Prediction: Nicole Weng vs Ares Teixido Garcia
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Nicole Weng; the market gives 81% to Nicole Weng (odds 1.14).
On recent form, Nicole Weng is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ares Teixido Garcia 5-5 over theirs.
70%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicole Weng 1501 · Ares Teixido Garcia 1464
| Nicole Weng | Ares Teixido Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nicole Weng makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Ares Teixido Garcia makes many double faults (10.9/match).
Statistics
| Nicole Weng | Ares Teixido Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.4 | 9.6-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 10.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicole Weng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tallia Harper UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Olivia Center W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/03 | Alexis Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 20/03 | Hanna Chang UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 19/03 | Lyric Bonilla UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/03 | Mackenzie Clark UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 17/03 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/02 | Kristina Liutova W35 Arcadia · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Ares Teixido Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Tallia Harper UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Sofia De Looze UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Madelynn Ludwig UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Juliet Jia Wen Zhang UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Lamija Avdic UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabriella Davydov UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Polina Leykina W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Loes Ebeling Koning W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicole Weng vs Ares Teixido Garcia?
Our model gives 70% to Nicole Weng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.