Handball · Portugal 2a Divisao · 03/10, 18:00

Prediction: CDC Sao Paio Oleiros vs AC Lamego

Team pages: CDC Sao Paio Oleiros · AC Lamego

Prediction summary

Estimated points

53.4Total

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros27.6

AC Lamego25.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros AC Lamego

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 61.5 points 85%

Recent form · 10 last

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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AC Lamego 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 3–1 AC Lamego (4 last)

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros29-28AC Lamego
CDC Sao Paio Oleiros28-21AC Lamego
CDC Sao Paio Oleiros32-29AC Lamego
CDC Sao Paio Oleiros19-22AC Lamego

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 1549 · AC Lamego 1519

	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros	AC Lamego
Our model	64%	36%
Market	33%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 53.4 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -8.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points53.4CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 27.6 · AC Lamego 25.8

Match keys

H2H favours CDC Sao Paio Oleiros: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros	AC Lamego
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.9 / 24.9	28.5 / 27
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.4 / 23.6	29.4 / 28.8
Est. result	28	26

Est. total53.4

Line O/U61.5

Diff.8.1

Over / Under15% / 85%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.70

X8.50

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 7.35 · Est. total: 54.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
X	8.50 → 9.00▲	Bet365 9.00
2	1.60 → 1.45▼	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:09 +30’	2.70	8.50	1.60
16:50 +17’	3.30▲	9.00▲	1.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 3–0–1 AC Lamego

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Portugal 2a Divisao	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros	29-28	AC Lamego
07/02/26 Portugal 2a Divisao	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros	28-21	AC Lamego
10/06/24 Portugal 2a Divisao	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros	32-29	AC Lamego
14/01/23 Portugal 2a Divisao	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros	19-22	AC Lamego

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros	AC Lamego
AC Coimbra	28-32 L	23-33 L
FC Gaia B	29-19 W	27-32 L
AC Sismaria	33-19 W	30-20 W
AD Albicastrense	26-25 W	32-30 W
Alavarium AC	24-28 L	26-25 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CDC Sao Paio Oleiros (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	AC Lusitanos Portugal 2a Divisao	23-20	W
13/06	AC Lamego Portugal 2a Divisao	29-28	W
06/06	AC Coimbra Portugal 2a Divisao	28-32	L
04/06	FC Gaia B Portugal 2a Divisao	29-19	W
30/05	AC Sismaria Portugal 2a Divisao	33-19	W
01/05	AD Albicastrense Portugal 2a Divisao	26-25	W
18/04	FC Gaia B Portugal 2a Divisao	34-28	W
28/02	FC Gaia B Portugal 2a Divisao	28-24	W
21/02	AC Coimbra Portugal 2a Divisao	25-26	L
14/02	Alavarium AC Portugal 2a Divisao	24-28	L

AC Lamego

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	34-32	W
13/06	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros Portugal 2a Divisao	28-29	L
06/06	AD Albicastrense Portugal 2a Divisao	32-30	W
04/06	AC Coimbra Portugal 2a Divisao	23-33	L
23/05	AC Sismaria Portugal 2a Divisao	30-20	W
16/05	FC Gaia B Portugal 2a Divisao	27-32	L
08/05	Alavarium AC Portugal 2a Divisao	26-25	W
01/05	ADC Benavente Portugal 2a Divisao	28-25	W
28/02	ADC Benavente Portugal 2a Divisao	33-19	W
21/02	Estarreja AC Portugal 2a Divisao	24-25	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CDC Sao Paio Oleiros vs AC Lamego?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 48% · AC Lamego 52%).

How many points are expected in CDC Sao Paio Oleiros vs AC Lamego?

The model estimates 53.4 total points (CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 27.6 · AC Lamego 25.8).