Handball · Hungary NB1 · 18/09, 18:00

Prediction: PLER Budapest vs NEKA

Team pages: PLER Budapest · NEKA

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57Total

PLER Budapest29.4

NEKA27.6

1X2

60% 40%

PLER Budapest NEKA

Recent form · 10 last

PLER Budapest 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLDWD

NEKA 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWLLW

Head-to-head

PLER Budapest 2–2–2 NEKA (6 last)

NEKA29-24PLER Budapest
PLER Budapest25-25NEKA
PLER Budapest28-28NEKA
NEKA25-28PLER Budapest
NEKA27-34PLER Budapest
PLER Budapest22-29NEKA

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PLER Budapest 1483 · NEKA 1487

	PLER Budapest	NEKA
Our model	59%	41%
Market	53%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 57 points · Bet365 line 54.5 · +2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57PLER Budapest 29.4 · NEKA 27.6

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	PLER Budapest	NEKA
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.3 / 27.1	28.5 / 32.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.2 / 26.8	28 / 37.2
Est. result	29	28

Est. total57

Line O/U54.5

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.72

X8.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.72

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 54.51.85

Under 54.51.85

Diff.: 3.05 · Est. total: 57.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.72 → 1.72	Bet365 1.72
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:35 +18’	1.72	8.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PLER Budapest 2–2–2 NEKA

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Hungary NB1	NEKA	29-24	PLER Budapest
17/10/25 Hungary NB1	PLER Budapest	25-25	NEKA
18/04/25 Hungary NB1	PLER Budapest	28-28	NEKA
16/11/24 Hungary NB1	NEKA	25-28	PLER Budapest
24/03/24 Hungary NB1	NEKA	27-34	PLER Budapest
13/10/23 Hungary NB1	PLER Budapest	22-29	NEKA

Standings · Hungary NB1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Veszprem	3	3	0	0	122	73	6
2	Tatabanya	2	2	0	0	67	53	4
3	Pick Szeged	3	2	0	1	113	83	4
4	Csurgoi KK	2	1	1	0	50	40	3
5	PLER Budapest	2	1	1	0	49	48	3
6	Gyongyos	2	1	0	1	57	68	2
7	Ferencvaros	1	1	0	0	39	29	2
8	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	2	1	0	1	50	50	2
9	NEKA	2	1	0	1	49	62	2
10	Balatonfuredi KSE	2	1	0	1	62	60	2
11	Budai Farkasok-Rev	2	0	0	2	49	54	0
12	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC	2	0	0	2	52	67	0
13	Dabas	2	0	0	2	56	86	0
14	Eger	3	0	0	3	63	105	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PLER Budapest	NEKA
Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	26-25 W	36-31 W
Tatabanya	29-31 L	29-36 L
Gyongyos	30-27 W	24-23 W
Budai Farkasok-Rev	23-27 L	27-22 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PLER Budapest

LLWWLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Csurgoi KK Hungary NB1	23-23	D
04/09	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1	26-25	W
20/05	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1	28-28	D
10/05	Tatabanya Hungary NB1	29-31	L
02/05	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	30-27	W
24/04	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	23-27	L
11/04	Ferencvaros Hungary NB1	29-26	W
03/04	Csurgoi KK Hungary NB1	29-22	W
27/03	Budakalasz Hungary NB1	32-33	L
14/03	NEKA Hungary NB1	24-29	L

NEKA

WWLWWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Eger Hungary NB1	28-22	W
04/09	Veszprem Hungary NB1	21-40	L
20/05	Veszprem Hungary NB1	40-51	L
10/05	Balatonfuredi KSE Hungary NB1	34-31	W
02/05	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	17-42	L
25/04	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1	36-31	W
11/04	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	24-23	W
01/04	Tatabanya Hungary NB1	29-36	L
28/03	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	27-22	W
14/03	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	29-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PLER Budapest vs NEKA?

Our model gives 60% to PLER Budapest.

How many points are expected in PLER Budapest vs NEKA?

The model estimates 57 total points (PLER Budapest 29.4 · NEKA 27.6).