Handball · Hungary NB1 · 26/09, 18:00

Prediction: NEKA vs Budai Farkasok-Rev

Team pages: NEKA · Budai Farkasok-Rev

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58Total

NEKA28.8

Budai Farkasok-Rev29.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

61% 39%

NEKA Budai Farkasok-Rev

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

NEKA 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLLWD

Budai Farkasok-Rev 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLLLLL

Head-to-head

NEKA 4–2 Budai Farkasok-Rev (6 last)

Budai Farkasok-Rev28-26NEKA
Budai Farkasok-Rev22-27NEKA
NEKA29-32Budai Farkasok-Rev
NEKA29-27Budai Farkasok-Rev
Budai Farkasok-Rev28-31NEKA
NEKA39-27Budai Farkasok-Rev

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NEKA 1473 · Budai Farkasok-Rev 1492

	NEKA	Budai Farkasok-Rev
Our model	57%	43%
Market	56%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 58 points · Bet365 line 53.5 · +4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58NEKA 28.8 · Budai Farkasok-Rev 29.2

Match keys

H2H favours NEKA: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	NEKA	Budai Farkasok-Rev
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.3 / 32.5	27.3 / 29
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 34.2	28 / 32
Est. result	29	29

Est. total58

Line O/U53.5

Diff.4.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 53.51.75

Under 53.51.95

Diff.: 5.05 · Est. total: 58.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +2’	1.60	8.00	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NEKA 4–0–2 Budai Farkasok-Rev

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 Club Friendlies	Budai Farkasok-Rev	28-26	NEKA
28/03/26 Hungary NB1	Budai Farkasok-Rev	22-27	NEKA
25/10/25 Hungary NB1	NEKA	29-32	Budai Farkasok-Rev
27/05/23 Hungary NB1	NEKA	29-27	Budai Farkasok-Rev
17/12/22 Hungary NB1	Budai Farkasok-Rev	28-31	NEKA
08/01/22 Hungary League Cup	NEKA	39-27	Budai Farkasok-Rev

Standings · Hungary NB1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Veszprem	4	4	0	0	164	99	8
2	Pick Szeged	4	3	0	1	151	111	6
3	Tatabanya	3	2	1	0	91	77	5
4	Csurgoi KK	3	2	1	0	79	67	5
5	PLER Budapest	3	1	2	0	76	75	4
6	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	3	1	1	1	77	77	3
7	Gyongyos	3	1	1	1	84	95	3
8	NEKA	3	1	1	1	76	89	3
9	Ferencvaros	2	1	0	1	65	71	2
10	Balatonfuredi KSE	3	1	0	2	90	98	2
11	Dabas	3	1	0	2	89	114	2
12	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC	3	0	1	2	76	91	1
13	Budai Farkasok-Rev	3	0	0	3	76	83	0
14	Eger	4	0	0	4	91	138	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NEKA	Budai Farkasok-Rev
PLER Budapest	27-27 D	27-23 W
Balatonfuredi KSE	34-31 W	25-29 L
Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	36-31 W	24-25 L
Gyongyos	24-23 W	30-36 L
Tatabanya	29-36 L	34-41 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: NEKA (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NEKA

WLWWLWLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/09	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	27-27	D
12/09	Eger Hungary NB1	28-22	W
04/09	Veszprem Hungary NB1	21-40	L
20/05	Veszprem Hungary NB1	40-51	L
10/05	Balatonfuredi KSE Hungary NB1	34-31	W
02/05	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	17-42	L
25/04	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1	36-31	W
11/04	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	24-23	W
01/04	Tatabanya Hungary NB1	29-36	L
28/03	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	27-22	W

Budai Farkasok-Rev

LWDWWLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	Csurgoi KK Hungary NB1	27-29	L
12/09	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1	24-25	L
04/09	Balatonfuredi KSE Hungary NB1	25-29	L
20/05	Tatabanya Hungary NB1	34-41	L
10/05	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	30-36	L
30/04	Csurgoi KK Hungary NB1	28-26	W
24/04	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	27-23	W
11/04	Budakalasz Hungary NB1	26-26	D
03/04	Ferencvaros Hungary NB1	30-28	W
28/03	NEKA Hungary NB1	22-27	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NEKA vs Budai Farkasok-Rev?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (NEKA 61% · Budai Farkasok-Rev 39%).

How many points are expected in NEKA vs Budai Farkasok-Rev?

The model estimates 58 total points (NEKA 28.8 · Budai Farkasok-Rev 29.2).