Handball · Hungary NB1 · 20/09, 18:00

Prediction: Pick Szeged vs Balatonfuredi KSE

Team pages: Pick Szeged · Balatonfuredi KSE

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.3Total

Pick Szeged34.2

Balatonfuredi KSE27

1X2

84% 16%

Pick Szeged Balatonfuredi KSE

Recent form · 10 last

Pick Szeged 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLWWL

Balatonfuredi KSE 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Pick Szeged 5–1 Balatonfuredi KSE (6 last)

Pick Szeged39-23Balatonfuredi KSE
Balatonfuredi KSE21-35Pick Szeged
Balatonfuredi KSE38-36Pick Szeged
Pick Szeged37-28Balatonfuredi KSE
Balatonfuredi KSE31-37Pick Szeged
Pick Szeged36-23Balatonfuredi KSE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pick Szeged 1563 · Balatonfuredi KSE 1476

	Pick Szeged	Balatonfuredi KSE
Our model	71%	29%
Market	88%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 61.3 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -2.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.3Pick Szeged 34.2 · Balatonfuredi KSE 27

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pick Szeged (rating 1563 vs 1476).
Pick Szeged is a clear favourite (84% market).
H2H favours Pick Szeged: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Pick Szeged	Balatonfuredi KSE
Points F\|A (Last 10)	36.7 / 29.2	28.4 / 29.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	36.6 / 31.4	31.6 / 29
Est. result	34	27

Est. total61.3

Line O/U63.5

Diff.2.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.03

X18.00

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-9.5)1.95

2 (+9.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.95

Under 63.51.75

Diff.: 1.65 · Est. total: 61.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.03 → 1.03	Bet365 1.03
X	18.00 → 18.00	Bet365 18.00
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:35 +25’	1.03	18.00	13.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pick Szeged 5–0–1 Balatonfuredi KSE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Hungary NB1	Pick Szeged	39-23	Balatonfuredi KSE
26/10/25 Hungary NB1	Balatonfuredi KSE	21-35	Pick Szeged
22/02/25 Hungary NB1	Balatonfuredi KSE	38-36	Pick Szeged
22/09/24 Hungary NB1	Pick Szeged	37-28	Balatonfuredi KSE
02/03/24 Hungary NB1	Balatonfuredi KSE	31-37	Pick Szeged
07/10/23 Hungary NB1	Pick Szeged	36-23	Balatonfuredi KSE

Standings · Hungary NB1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Veszprem	3	3	0	0	122	73	6
2	Tatabanya	2	2	0	0	67	53	4
3	Pick Szeged	3	2	0	1	113	83	4
4	Csurgoi KK	2	1	1	0	50	40	3
5	PLER Budapest	2	1	1	0	49	48	3
6	Gyongyos	2	1	0	1	57	68	2
7	Ferencvaros	1	1	0	0	39	29	2
8	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	2	1	0	1	50	50	2
9	NEKA	2	1	0	1	49	62	2
10	Balatonfuredi KSE	2	1	0	1	62	60	2
11	Budai Farkasok-Rev	2	0	0	2	49	54	0
12	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC	2	0	0	2	52	67	0
13	Dabas	2	0	0	2	56	86	0
14	Eger	3	0	0	3	63	105	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pick Szeged	Balatonfuredi KSE
Gyori ETO-UNI FKC	32-27 W	30-27 W
Veszprem	34-36 L	20-32 L
Budakalasz	44-32 W	35-24 W
NEKA	42-17 W	31-34 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pick Szeged (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pick Szeged

LWWWWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	Tatabanya Hungary NB1	31-32	L
05/09	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	32-27	W
01/09	Eger Hungary NB1	50-24	W
02/06	Veszprem Hungary NB1	34-36	L
29/05	Veszprem Hungary NB1	36-38	L
20/05	Ferencvaros Hungary NB1	37-27	W
10/05	Budakalasz Hungary NB1	44-32	W
02/05	NEKA Hungary NB1	42-17	W
24/04	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	37-29	W
13/04	Veszprem Hungary NB1	24-30	L

Balatonfuredi KSE

WLLDWWLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	33-35	L
04/09	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	29-25	W
20/05	Budakalasz Hungary NB1	35-24	W
10/05	NEKA Hungary NB1	31-34	L
02/05	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	30-27	W
25/04	Komlo Hungary NB1	27-26	W
11/04	Csurgoi KK Hungary NB1	27-27	D
04/04	Veszprem Hungary NB1	20-32	L
28/03	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	23-39	L
14/03	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1	29-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pick Szeged vs Balatonfuredi KSE?

Our model gives 84% to Pick Szeged.

How many points are expected in Pick Szeged vs Balatonfuredi KSE?

The model estimates 61.3 total points (Pick Szeged 34.2 · Balatonfuredi KSE 27).