Handball · Hungary NB1 · 26/09, 18:00

Prediction: Balatonfuredi KSE vs Tatabanya

Team pages: Balatonfuredi KSE · Tatabanya

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.9Total

Balatonfuredi KSE27.6

Tatabanya30.3

1X2

28% 72%

Balatonfuredi KSE Tatabanya

Recent form · 10 last

Balatonfuredi KSE 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWWLWWLL

Tatabanya 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWWD

Head-to-head

Balatonfuredi KSE 1–1–4 Tatabanya (6 last)

Tatabanya30-24Balatonfuredi KSE
Balatonfuredi KSE24-29Tatabanya
Balatonfuredi KSE33-29Tatabanya
Tatabanya26-26Balatonfuredi KSE
Tatabanya31-23Balatonfuredi KSE
Balatonfuredi KSE21-22Tatabanya

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Balatonfuredi KSE 1462 · Tatabanya 1594

	Balatonfuredi KSE	Tatabanya
Our model	41%	59%
Market	18%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 57.9 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.9Balatonfuredi KSE 27.6 · Tatabanya 30.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tatabanya (rating 1462 vs 1594).
Tatabanya is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours Tatabanya: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Balatonfuredi KSE	Tatabanya
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.3 / 30.7	32.6 / 28.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.2 / 31.2	32.6 / 28
Est. result	28	30

Est. total57.9

Line O/U56.5

Diff.1.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.00

X9.50

21.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.75

2 (-4.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 3.7 · Est. total: 60.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +3’	5.00	9.50	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Balatonfuredi KSE 1–1–4 Tatabanya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Hungary NB1	Tatabanya	30-24	Balatonfuredi KSE
04/10/25 Hungary NB1	Balatonfuredi KSE	24-29	Tatabanya
29/03/25 Hungary NB1	Balatonfuredi KSE	33-29	Tatabanya
26/10/24 Hungary NB1	Tatabanya	26-26	Balatonfuredi KSE
04/05/24 Hungary NB1	Tatabanya	31-23	Balatonfuredi KSE
26/11/23 Hungary NB1	Balatonfuredi KSE	21-22	Tatabanya

Standings · Hungary NB1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Veszprem	4	4	0	0	164	99	8
2	Pick Szeged	4	3	0	1	151	111	6
3	Tatabanya	3	2	1	0	91	77	5
4	Csurgoi KK	3	2	1	0	79	67	5
5	PLER Budapest	3	1	2	0	76	75	4
6	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	3	1	1	1	77	77	3
7	Gyongyos	3	1	1	1	84	95	3
8	NEKA	3	1	1	1	76	89	3
9	Ferencvaros	2	1	0	1	65	71	2
10	Balatonfuredi KSE	3	1	0	2	90	98	2
11	Dabas	3	1	0	2	89	114	2
12	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC	3	0	1	2	76	91	1
13	Budai Farkasok-Rev	3	0	0	3	76	83	0
14	Eger	4	0	0	4	91	138	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Balatonfuredi KSE	Tatabanya
Pick Szeged	28-38 L	32-31 W
Gyongyos	33-35 L	35-22 W
Budai Farkasok-Rev	29-25 W	41-34 W
Budakalasz	35-24 W	31-30 W
NEKA	31-34 L	36-29 W
Gyori ETO-UNI FKC	30-27 W	24-24 D
Komlo	27-26 W	39-27 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tatabanya (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Balatonfuredi KSE

LLDWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	28-38	L
12/09	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	33-35	L
04/09	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	29-25	W
20/05	Budakalasz Hungary NB1	35-24	W
10/05	NEKA Hungary NB1	31-34	L
02/05	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	30-27	W
25/04	Komlo Hungary NB1	27-26	W
11/04	Csurgoi KK Hungary NB1	27-27	D
04/04	Veszprem Hungary NB1	20-32	L
28/03	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	23-39	L

Tatabanya

WWWWLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/09	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	24-24	D
13/09	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	32-31	W
06/09	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	35-22	W
20/05	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	41-34	W
10/05	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	31-29	W
06/05	Ferencvaros Hungary NB1	32-38	L
22/04	Budakalasz Hungary NB1	31-30	W
10/04	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	25-24	W
01/04	NEKA Hungary NB1	36-29	W
25/03	Komlo Hungary NB1	39-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Balatonfuredi KSE vs Tatabanya?

Our model gives 72% to Tatabanya.

How many points are expected in Balatonfuredi KSE vs Tatabanya?

The model estimates 57.9 total points (Balatonfuredi KSE 27.6 · Tatabanya 30.3).