Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 29/10, 19:00

Prediction: Ystads IF HF vs OV Helsingborg

Team pages: Ystads IF HF · OV Helsingborg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.3Total

Ystads IF HF29.6

OV Helsingborg28.7

1X2

74% 26%

Ystads IF HF OV Helsingborg

Recent form · 10 last

Ystads IF HF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLWWLWLW

OV Helsingborg 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLWLDW

Head-to-head

Ystads IF HF 6–0 OV Helsingborg (6 last)

OV Helsingborg24-36Ystads IF HF
Ystads IF HF33-31OV Helsingborg
Ystads IF HF31-28OV Helsingborg
OV Helsingborg30-34Ystads IF HF
OV Helsingborg35-43Ystads IF HF
OV Helsingborg26-27Ystads IF HF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ystads IF HF 1526 · OV Helsingborg 1512

	Ystads IF HF	OV Helsingborg
Our model	62%	38%
Market	74%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 58.3 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -3.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.3Ystads IF HF 29.6 · OV Helsingborg 28.7

Match keys

Ystads IF HF is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours Ystads IF HF: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ystads IF HF	OV Helsingborg
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.2 / 29.5	29.9 / 28.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 28	29.2 / 29
Est. result	30	29

Est. total58.3

Line O/U61.5

Diff.3.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.20

X9.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.88

2 (+4.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 2.8 · Est. total: 58.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
08:11 +5’	1.20	9.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ystads IF HF 6–0–0 OV Helsingborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	OV Helsingborg	24-36	Ystads IF HF
18/09/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Ystads IF HF	33-31	OV Helsingborg
27/02/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Ystads IF HF	31-28	OV Helsingborg
07/02/25 European League Qualification	OV Helsingborg	30-34	Ystads IF HF
13/09/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	OV Helsingborg	35-43	Ystads IF HF
31/01/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	OV Helsingborg	26-27	Ystads IF HF

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Savehof	5	5	0	0	165	134	10
2	HK Malmo	7	5	0	2	225	215	10
3	IFK Kristianstad	6	5	0	1	178	172	10
4	Ystads IF HF	6	4	0	2	180	166	8
5	Alingsas HK	7	4	0	3	215	206	8
6	Hammarby IF HF	7	4	0	3	198	192	8
7	IFK Skovde HK	6	3	2	1	189	191	8
8	Amo HK	7	3	1	3	224	222	7
9	OV Helsingborg	6	2	2	2	178	177	6
10	HIF Karlskrona	7	3	0	4	217	224	6
11	Lugi HF	7	2	0	5	216	227	4
12	Onnereds HK	7	1	2	4	200	213	4
13	Skanela IF	7	1	0	6	201	218	2
14	IF Hallby HK	7	0	1	6	198	227	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ystads IF HF	OV Helsingborg
Hammarby IF HF	26-24 W	23-26 L
IF Hallby HK	31-28 W	39-32 W
HK Malmo	35-29 W	25-32 L
IFK Skovde HK	36-26 W	29-29 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ystads IF HF (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ystads IF HF

LDLLWWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	26-24	W
22/10	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	29-30	L
16/10	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	31-28	W
11/10	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	23-29	L
03/10	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	35-29	W
23/09	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	36-26	W
19/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	28-34	L
16/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	29-30	L
12/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	27-27	D
07/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	28-38	L

OV Helsingborg

LWWWDLWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/10	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	39-32	W
15/10	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D
11/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	23-26	L
01/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	30-26	W
26/09	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	25-32	L
23/09	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-32	D
14/04	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	35-27	W
06/04	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	32-30	W
02/04	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	26-25	W
31/03	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	28-29	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ystads IF HF vs OV Helsingborg?

Our model gives 74% to Ystads IF HF.

How many points are expected in Ystads IF HF vs OV Helsingborg?

The model estimates 58.3 total points (Ystads IF HF 29.6 · OV Helsingborg 28.7).