Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 28/10, 20:00

Prediction: Onnereds HK vs Lugi HF

Team pages: Onnereds HK · Lugi HF

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.9Total

Onnereds HK30.6

Lugi HF30.3

1X2

67% 33%

Onnereds HK Lugi HF

Recent form · 10 last

Onnereds HK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDDLWL

Lugi HF 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Onnereds HK 4–1–1 Lugi HF (6 last)

Lugi HF25-31Onnereds HK
Onnereds HK32-29Lugi HF
Onnereds HK33-29Lugi HF
Lugi HF36-28Onnereds HK
Onnereds HK25-25Lugi HF
Lugi HF30-31Onnereds HK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Onnereds HK 1456 · Lugi HF 1460

	Onnereds HK	Lugi HF
Our model	59%	41%
Market	64%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 60.9 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.9Onnereds HK 30.6 · Lugi HF 30.3

Match keys

Onnereds HK is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Onnereds HK: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Onnereds HK	Lugi HF
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.1 / 30.9	30 / 30.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.2 / 30	32 / 34.8
Est. result	31	30

Est. total60.9

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.40

X8.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.88

2 (+2.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 60.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.78 → 1.40▼	Bet365 1.40
X	7.50 → 8.00▲	Bet365 8.00
2	2.55 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:16 +2’	1.78	7.50	2.55
01:01 +14’	1.40▼	8.00▲	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Onnereds HK 4–1–1 Lugi HF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	Lugi HF	25-31	Onnereds HK
24/11/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	Onnereds HK	32-29	Lugi HF
11/02/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	Onnereds HK	33-29	Lugi HF
19/10/22 Sweden Handbollsligan	Lugi HF	36-28	Onnereds HK
04/03/22 Sweden Handbollsligan	Onnereds HK	25-25	Lugi HF
30/09/21 Sweden Handbollsligan	Lugi HF	30-31	Onnereds HK

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Savehof	5	5	0	0	165	134	10
2	HK Malmo	7	5	0	2	225	215	10
3	IFK Kristianstad	6	5	0	1	178	172	10
4	Ystads IF HF	6	4	0	2	180	166	8
5	Alingsas HK	7	4	0	3	215	206	8
6	Hammarby IF HF	7	4	0	3	198	192	8
7	IFK Skovde HK	6	3	2	1	189	191	8
8	Amo HK	7	3	1	3	224	222	7
9	OV Helsingborg	6	2	2	2	178	177	6
10	HIF Karlskrona	7	3	0	4	217	224	6
11	Lugi HF	7	2	0	5	216	227	4
12	Onnereds HK	7	1	2	4	200	213	4
13	Skanela IF	7	1	0	6	201	218	2
14	IF Hallby HK	7	0	1	6	198	227	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Onnereds HK	Lugi HF
Alingsas HK	30-32 L	37-39 L
IF Hallby HK	28-28 D	25-24 W
IFK Skovde HK	29-29 D	32-35 L
VasterasIrsta HF	41-31 W	35-28 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Onnereds HK (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Onnereds HK

WLLLLDDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	30-32	L
22/10	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	30-29	W
16/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-32	L
10/10	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-28	D
03/10	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D
27/09	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	28-33	L
23/09	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	26-30	L
25/03	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	24-32	L
13/03	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	26-33	L
09/03	VasterasIrsta HF Sweden Handbollsligan	41-31	W

Lugi HF

WLWWWLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-35	L
21/10	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	31-33	L
16/10	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	30-32	L
09/10	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	30-35	L
04/10	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	37-39	L
28/09	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	31-29	W
23/09	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	25-24	W
10/04	VasterasIrsta HF Sweden Handbollsligan	35-28	W
07/04	VasterasIrsta HF Sweden Handbollsligan	23-26	L
03/04	VasterasIrsta HF Sweden Handbollsligan	26-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Onnereds HK vs Lugi HF?

Our model gives 67% to Onnereds HK.

How many points are expected in Onnereds HK vs Lugi HF?

The model estimates 60.9 total points (Onnereds HK 30.6 · Lugi HF 30.3).