Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 28/10, 19:00

Prediction: Nove Veseli vs Banik Karvina

Team pages: Nove Veseli · Banik Karvina

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57Total

Nove Veseli28.7

Banik Karvina28.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

38% 62%

Nove Veseli Banik Karvina

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 63.5 points 90%

Recent form · 10 last

Nove Veseli 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLWLW

Banik Karvina 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Nove Veseli 0–1–5 Banik Karvina (6 last)

Banik Karvina36-27Nove Veseli
Nove Veseli24-40Banik Karvina
Nove Veseli17-29Banik Karvina
Banik Karvina30-21Nove Veseli
Banik Karvina30-18Nove Veseli
Nove Veseli24-24Banik Karvina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nove Veseli 1513 · Banik Karvina 1532

	Nove Veseli	Banik Karvina
Our model	57%	43%
Market	22%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 57 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -6.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57Nove Veseli 28.7 · Banik Karvina 28.3

Match keys

H2H favours Banik Karvina: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nove Veseli	Banik Karvina
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.4 / 26.7	31.4 / 27.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.6 / 29.8	32.2 / 24.8
Est. result	29	28

Est. total57

Line O/U63.5

Diff.6.5

Over / Under10% / 90%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.00

X9.50

21.32

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.85

2 (-3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 6.45 · Est. total: 57.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:55 +20’	4.00	9.50	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nove Veseli 0–1–5 Banik Karvina

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/11/25 Czechia Extraliga	Banik Karvina	36-27	Nove Veseli
10/09/25 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	24-40	Banik Karvina
07/12/24 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	17-29	Banik Karvina
21/09/24 Czechia Extraliga	Banik Karvina	30-21	Nove Veseli
28/02/24 Czechia Extraliga	Banik Karvina	30-18	Nove Veseli
11/11/23 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	24-24	Banik Karvina

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banik Karvina	8	8	0	0	262	216	16
2	Talent Plzen	8	6	1	1	251	227	13
3	HC Zubri	8	5	1	2	243	223	11
4	HK Lovosice	8	5	1	2	249	230	11
5	Dukla Praha	7	5	0	2	259	204	10
6	Nove Veseli	8	5	0	3	233	219	10
7	KP Brno 1920	7	4	0	3	200	208	8
8	HBC Jicin	8	3	0	5	225	239	6
9	HBC Strakonice 1921	8	1	1	6	233	266	3
10	KH Koprivnice	8	1	0	7	205	238	2
11	HC Frydek-Mistek	8	1	0	7	209	252	2
12	HC Zlin	8	1	0	7	218	265	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nove Veseli	Banik Karvina
HC Frydek-Mistek	34-29 W	33-23 W
HK Lovosice	27-28 L	29-27 W
HBC Strakonice 1921	33-29 W	35-32 W
Dukla Praha	26-34 L	35-30 W
Talent Plzen	23-29 L	28-29 L
HBC Jicin	27-23 W	35-27 W
KH Koprivnice	30-22 W	26-23 W
KP Brno 1920	33-25 W	38-24 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Banik Karvina (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nove Veseli

LWWWWLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	34-29	W
17/10	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	27-28	L
10/10	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	33-29	W
03/10	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	26-34	L
27/09	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	23-29	L
19/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	27-23	W
13/09	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	30-22	W
05/09	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	33-25	W
29/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	25-14	W
25/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	26-34	L

Banik Karvina

LLWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	35-27	W
18/10	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	33-23	W
10/10	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	26-23	W
03/10	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	29-27	W
26/09	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	38-24	W
19/09	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	35-32	W
15/09	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	31-30	W
05/09	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	35-30	W
09/05	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	28-29	L
03/05	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	24-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nove Veseli vs Banik Karvina?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Nove Veseli 38% · Banik Karvina 62%).

How many points are expected in Nove Veseli vs Banik Karvina?

The model estimates 57 total points (Nove Veseli 28.7 · Banik Karvina 28.3).