Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 31/10, 17:00

Prediction: Nove Veseli vs HC Zlin

Team pages: Nove Veseli · HC Zlin

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.9Total

Nove Veseli30.9

HC Zlin26

1X2

82% 18%

Nove Veseli HC Zlin

Recent form · 10 last

Nove Veseli 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWLWD

HC Zlin 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Nove Veseli 2–0 HC Zlin (2 last)

Nove Veseli28-20HC Zlin
HC Zlin21-22Nove Veseli

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nove Veseli 1541 · HC Zlin 1422

	Nove Veseli	HC Zlin
Our model	75%	25%
Market	80%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 56.9 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -2.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.9Nove Veseli 30.9 · HC Zlin 26

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nove Veseli (rating 1541 vs 1422).
Nove Veseli is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours Nove Veseli: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nove Veseli	HC Zlin
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29 / 26.5	28.9 / 32.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.4 / 30.4	27.4 / 33.8
Est. result	31	26

Est. total56.9

Line O/U59.5

Diff.2.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.12

X12.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.75

2 (+5.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 0.9 · Est. total: 58.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.12 → 1.12	Bet365 1.12
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
05:11 +8’	1.12	12.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nove Veseli 2–0–0 HC Zlin

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	28-20	HC Zlin
16/11/25 Czechia Extraliga	HC Zlin	21-22	Nove Veseli

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banik Karvina	9	8	1	0	294	248	17
2	Talent Plzen	9	7	1	1	282	252	15
3	HK Lovosice	9	6	1	2	285	257	13
4	Dukla Praha	8	6	0	2	292	233	12
5	Nove Veseli	9	5	1	3	265	251	11
6	HC Zubri	9	5	1	3	270	259	11
7	KP Brno 1920	8	5	0	3	232	235	10
8	HBC Jicin	9	3	0	6	250	270	6
9	HBC Strakonice 1921	9	1	1	7	260	298	3
10	HC Frydek-Mistek	9	1	1	7	236	279	3
11	HC Zlin	9	1	1	7	245	292	3
12	KH Koprivnice	9	1	0	8	234	271	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nove Veseli	HC Zlin
HC Frydek-Mistek	34-29 W	27-27 D
HK Lovosice	27-28 L	27-33 L
HBC Strakonice 1921	33-29 W	24-32 L
Dukla Praha	26-34 L	26-40 L
Talent Plzen	23-29 L	33-37 L
HBC Jicin	27-23 W	26-34 L
KH Koprivnice	30-22 W	29-22 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Nove Veseli (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nove Veseli

WWWWLLWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	32-32	D
25/10	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	34-29	W
17/10	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	27-28	L
10/10	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	33-29	W
03/10	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	26-34	L
27/09	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	23-29	L
19/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	27-23	W
13/09	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	30-22	W
05/09	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	33-25	W
29/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	25-14	W

HC Zlin

WLLWLLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	27-27	D
24/10	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	27-33	L
18/10	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	24-32	L
11/10	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	26-40	L
04/10	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	33-37	L
26/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	26-34	L
20/09	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	29-22	W
06/09	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	27-32	L
02/05	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	28-38	L
26/04	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	42-33	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nove Veseli vs HC Zlin?

Our model gives 82% to Nove Veseli.

How many points are expected in Nove Veseli vs HC Zlin?

The model estimates 56.9 total points (Nove Veseli 30.9 · HC Zlin 26).