Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 01/11, 16:30

Prediction: HC Frydek-Mistek vs HC Zubri

Team pages: HC Frydek-Mistek · HC Zubri

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.5Total

HC Frydek-Mistek26.8

HC Zubri29.6

1X2

37% 63%

HC Frydek-Mistek HC Zubri

Recent form · 10 last

HC Frydek-Mistek 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLLD

HC Zubri 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLDWL

Head-to-head

HC Frydek-Mistek 2–4 HC Zubri (6 last)

HC Zubri26-22HC Frydek-Mistek
HC Frydek-Mistek27-28HC Zubri
HC Zubri26-25HC Frydek-Mistek
HC Frydek-Mistek26-22HC Zubri
HC Frydek-Mistek29-28HC Zubri
HC Zubri24-20HC Frydek-Mistek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Frydek-Mistek 1408 · HC Zubri 1494

	HC Frydek-Mistek	HC Zubri
Our model	48%	52%
Market	26%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 56.5 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.5HC Frydek-Mistek 26.8 · HC Zubri 29.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HC Zubri (rating 1408 vs 1494).
H2H favours HC Zubri: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Frydek-Mistek	HC Zubri
Points F\|A (Last 10)	25 / 30.4	29.8 / 29.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27 / 29.8	30 / 31.2
Est. result	27	30

Est. total56.5

Line O/U60.5

Diff.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.40

X8.50

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.85

2 (-2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 3.3 · Est. total: 57.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.60 → 1.42▼	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:01 +15’	2.80	8.50	1.60
12:08 +10’	3.40▲	8.50	1.42▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Frydek-Mistek 2–0–4 HC Zubri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Czechia Extraliga	HC Zubri	26-22	HC Frydek-Mistek
17/10/25 Czechia Extraliga	HC Frydek-Mistek	27-28	HC Zubri
02/05/25 Czechia Extraliga	HC Zubri	26-25	HC Frydek-Mistek
25/04/25 Czechia Extraliga	HC Frydek-Mistek	26-22	HC Zubri
07/12/24 Czechia Extraliga	HC Frydek-Mistek	29-28	HC Zubri
21/09/24 Czechia Extraliga	HC Zubri	24-20	HC Frydek-Mistek

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banik Karvina	10	8	2	0	325	279	18
2	Talent Plzen	10	7	2	1	313	283	16
3	Dukla Praha	9	7	0	2	324	256	14
4	Nove Veseli	10	6	1	3	304	275	13
5	HK Lovosice	9	6	1	2	285	257	13
6	HC Zubri	9	5	1	3	270	259	11
7	KP Brno 1920	8	5	0	3	232	235	10
8	HBC Jicin	10	3	0	7	273	302	6
9	KH Koprivnice	10	2	0	8	262	298	4
10	HBC Strakonice 1921	10	1	1	8	287	326	3
11	HC Frydek-Mistek	9	1	1	7	236	279	3
12	HC Zlin	10	1	1	8	269	331	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Frydek-Mistek	HC Zubri
HC Zlin	27-27 D	32-27 W
Banik Karvina	23-33 L	30-31 L
HK Lovosice	27-29 L	27-36 L
HBC Strakonice 1921	29-26 W	30-30 D
Dukla Praha	27-42 L	33-32 W
Talent Plzen	24-27 L	27-30 L
HBC Jicin	23-30 L	33-28 W
KH Koprivnice	27-31 L	30-26 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: HC Zubri (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Frydek-Mistek

LLLLLWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	27-27	D
25/10	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	29-34	L
18/10	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	23-33	L
10/10	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	27-29	L
04/10	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	29-26	W
27/09	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	27-42	L
20/09	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	24-27	L
13/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	23-30	L
06/09	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	27-31	L
29/04	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	14-25	L

HC Zubri

LWLWWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	27-36	L
20/10	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	33-32	W
14/10	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	30-30	D
11/10	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	27-30	L
03/10	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	33-28	W
26/09	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	30-26	W
23/09	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	28-19	W
15/09	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	30-31	L
06/09	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	32-27	W
02/05	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	28-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Frydek-Mistek vs HC Zubri?

Our model gives 63% to HC Zubri.

How many points are expected in HC Frydek-Mistek vs HC Zubri?

The model estimates 56.5 total points (HC Frydek-Mistek 26.8 · HC Zubri 29.6).