Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 01/11, 10:30

Prediction: HK Lovosice vs KP Brno 1920

Team pages: HK Lovosice · KP Brno 1920

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.5Total

HK Lovosice31.6

KP Brno 192027.9

1X2

70% 30%

HK Lovosice KP Brno 1920

Recent form · 10 last

HK Lovosice 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLLWWWW

KP Brno 1920 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLWWWW

Head-to-head

HK Lovosice 4–2 KP Brno 1920 (6 last)

HK Lovosice38-23KP Brno 1920
KP Brno 192036-31HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice38-22KP Brno 1920
KP Brno 192037-23HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice38-23KP Brno 1920
KP Brno 192026-30HK Lovosice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HK Lovosice 1538 · KP Brno 1920 1508

	HK Lovosice	KP Brno 1920
Our model	64%	36%
Market	66%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 59.5 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.5HK Lovosice 31.6 · KP Brno 1920 27.9

Match keys

HK Lovosice is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours HK Lovosice: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HK Lovosice	KP Brno 1920
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.3 / 29	28.4 / 30.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 27.4	30.6 / 29.6
Est. result	32	28

Est. total59.5

Line O/U57.5

Diff.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

X8.50

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.75

2 (+2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 2.05 · Est. total: 59.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:12 +13’	1.37	8.50	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Lovosice 4–0–2 KP Brno 1920

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	38-23	KP Brno 1920
24/04/26 Czechia Extraliga	KP Brno 1920	36-31	HK Lovosice
14/03/26 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	38-22	KP Brno 1920
18/11/25 Czechia Extraliga	KP Brno 1920	37-23	HK Lovosice
29/03/25 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	38-23	KP Brno 1920
23/03/25 Czechia Extraliga	KP Brno 1920	26-30	HK Lovosice

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banik Karvina	9	8	1	0	294	248	17
2	Talent Plzen	9	7	1	1	282	252	15
3	HK Lovosice	9	6	1	2	285	257	13
4	Dukla Praha	8	6	0	2	292	233	12
5	Nove Veseli	9	5	1	3	265	251	11
6	HC Zubri	9	5	1	3	270	259	11
7	KP Brno 1920	8	5	0	3	232	235	10
8	HBC Jicin	9	3	0	6	250	270	6
9	HBC Strakonice 1921	9	1	1	7	260	298	3
10	HC Frydek-Mistek	9	1	1	7	236	279	3
11	HC Zlin	9	1	1	7	245	292	3
12	KH Koprivnice	9	1	0	8	234	271	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HK Lovosice	KP Brno 1920
HC Zubri	36-27 W	19-28 L
Nove Veseli	28-27 W	25-33 L
Banik Karvina	27-29 L	24-38 L
Talent Plzen	29-29 D	35-31 W
HBC Jicin	36-26 W	32-27 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: HK Lovosice (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HK Lovosice

LWWDLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	36-27	W
24/10	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	33-27	W
17/10	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	28-27	W
10/10	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	29-27	W
03/10	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	27-29	L
19/09	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	26-39	L
13/09	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	29-29	D
05/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	36-26	W
01/05	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	38-23	W
24/04	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	31-36	L

KP Brno 1920

WWLLLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	32-27	W
17/10	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	35-31	W
10/10	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	32-27	W
07/10	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	30-25	W
26/09	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	24-38	L
23/09	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	19-28	L
05/09	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	25-33	L
01/05	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	23-38	L
24/04	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	36-31	W
17/04	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	28-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HK Lovosice vs KP Brno 1920?

Our model gives 70% to HK Lovosice.

How many points are expected in HK Lovosice vs KP Brno 1920?

The model estimates 59.5 total points (HK Lovosice 31.6 · KP Brno 1920 27.9).