Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 27/09, 10:30

Prediction: Talent Plzen vs Nove Veseli

Team pages: Talent Plzen · Nove Veseli

Prediction summary

Estimated points

54.3Total

Talent Plzen29

Nove Veseli25.3

1X2

75% 25%

Talent Plzen Nove Veseli

Markets

Under 58.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

Talent Plzen 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWWWDW

Nove Veseli 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Talent Plzen 5–1 Nove Veseli (6 last)

Nove Veseli24-26Talent Plzen
Talent Plzen28-15Nove Veseli
Talent Plzen37-25Nove Veseli
Nove Veseli30-28Talent Plzen
Talent Plzen32-23Nove Veseli
Nove Veseli30-32Talent Plzen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Talent Plzen 1591 · Nove Veseli 1491

	Talent Plzen	Nove Veseli
Our model	73%	27%
Market	69%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 54.3 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · -4.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points54.3Talent Plzen 29 · Nove Veseli 25.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Talent Plzen (rating 1591 vs 1491).
Talent Plzen is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours Talent Plzen: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Talent Plzen	Nove Veseli
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29 / 27.2	26.3 / 27
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.6 / 26.4	28.2 / 23.6
Est. result	29	25

Est. total54.3

Line O/U58.5

Diff.4.2

Over / Under25% / 75%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.30

X9.00

24.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.85

2 (+3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 3.75 · Est. total: 54.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	4.25 → 4.25	Bet365 4.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:56 +15’	1.30	9.00	4.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Talent Plzen 5–0–1 Nove Veseli

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	24-26	Talent Plzen
29/03/26 Czechia Extraliga	Talent Plzen	28-15	Nove Veseli
27/03/26 Czechia Extraliga	Talent Plzen	37-25	Nove Veseli
30/01/26 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	30-28	Talent Plzen
12/10/25 Czechia Extraliga	Talent Plzen	32-23	Nove Veseli
15/02/25 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	30-32	Talent Plzen

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nove Veseli	3	3	0	0	90	70	6
2	Banik Karvina	3	3	0	0	101	92	6
3	HK Lovosice	4	2	1	1	132	120	5
4	Talent Plzen	3	2	1	0	88	80	5
5	Dukla Praha	3	2	0	1	111	92	4
6	HC Zubri	3	2	0	1	90	77	4
7	HC Zlin	3	1	0	2	82	89	2
8	HBC Jicin	3	1	0	2	79	86	2
9	KP Brno 1920	3	1	0	2	79	87	2
10	KH Koprivnice	3	1	0	2	75	86	2
11	HC Frydek-Mistek	3	0	0	3	74	88	0
12	HBC Strakonice 1921	4	0	0	4	116	150	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Talent Plzen

DWLLWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	27-24	W
13/09	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	29-29	D
05/09	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	32-27	W
09/05	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	29-28	W
03/05	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	31-24	W
02/05	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	29-25	W
26/04	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	23-27	L
25/04	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	34-35	L
18/04	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	27-24	W
17/04	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	29-29	D

Nove Veseli

LLLLLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	27-23	W
13/09	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	30-22	W
05/09	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	33-25	W
29/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	25-14	W
25/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	26-34	L
17/04	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	26-28	L
10/04	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	32-33	L
03/04	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	24-26	L
29/03	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	15-28	L
27/03	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	25-37	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Talent Plzen vs Nove Veseli?

Our model gives 75% to Talent Plzen.

How many points are expected in Talent Plzen vs Nove Veseli?

The model estimates 54.3 total points (Talent Plzen 29 · Nove Veseli 25.3).